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讲座主题:Expected Returns and Foundation Models of Language

2023-02-09 17:41      

主讲嘉宾:修大成,芝加哥大学布斯商学院

讲座时间:2023213日(周),上午11:00-13:00

讲座地点:腾讯会议(线上)

嘉宾简介:修大成,芝加哥大学布斯商学院教授(终生职)。中国科学技术大学数学、理工学学士,美国普林斯顿大学应用数学硕士、博士。研究领域为Financial EconometricsEmpirical Asset PricingMachine Learning in FinanceHigh-Dimensional StatisticsQuantitative Finance等。其研究成果发表于EconometricaJournal of EconometricsReview of Financial StudiesJournal of FinanceAnnals of StatisticsJournal of the American Statistical Association等国际知名期刊。同时,修教授担任以下顶尖学术期刊的主编或编委:Review of Financial StudiesJournal of the American Statistical AssociationJournal of Financial Econometricsthe Journal of EconometricsJournal of Business & Economic StatisticsManagement ScienceJournal of Applied EconometricsJournal of Empirical Finance等。

讲座摘要: We extract contextualized representations of news text to predict returns using the state-of-the-art foundation models in natural language processing. The contextualized representation of news reflects its content more accurately than the bag-of-words representation prevalent in the literature. In particular, the latter approach is more prone to errors when negation words appear in news articles. Moreover, we provide polyglot evidence on news-induced return predictability in 16 international equity markets with news written in 13 different languages. Information in newswires is assimilated into prices with an inefficient delay that is broadly consistent with limits-to-arbitrage, yet can be exploited in a real-time trading strategy. Furthermore, a trading strategy that exploits fresh news in the form of news alerts leads to even higher Sharpe ratios.

主办:中国互联网经济研究院


此次讲座获得北京高等学校卓越青年科学家计划资助(BJJWZYJH01201910034034),特此致谢。